Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 184.351356 218.647173 260.473709 316.225764 390.162894 4.872549e+02 628.732514
2025-02-09 137.657950 176.630286 230.087252 312.075064 441.400057 6.515319e+02 1055.889095
2025-02-16 115.704052 156.064255 215.855307 317.003685 498.909558 8.521141e+02 1741.284336
2025-02-23 100.586961 140.656771 203.490135 318.159394 547.862380 1.071087e+03 2809.433841
2025-03-02 90.236071 129.995091 195.391361 322.899835 604.944730 1.358220e+03 4813.805150
2025-03-09 82.246418 121.487687 188.718828 327.682203 664.617772 1.720298e+03 8860.041460
2025-03-16 74.079654 111.361218 177.110550 318.915342 687.555384 2.003482e+03 15096.503419
2025-03-23 70.627970 108.698720 178.528682 338.327331 798.061641 2.815485e+03 48491.788202
2025-03-30 64.189307 99.920640 166.731008 324.224050 801.881670 3.157266e+03 107335.233877
2025-04-06 60.315509 95.301804 162.400755 327.014862 864.231814 4.017465e+03 762073.920312
2025-04-13 56.568525 90.484076 156.912374 325.470161 911.970456 4.975986e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 54.903696 89.370842 158.956166 344.507469 1056.796152 7.617887e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 54.618782 91.200333 168.432839 390.564015 1391.104887 1.771433e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 50.982912 86.031873 161.428945 385.470354 1471.135370 2.602100e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 48.437126 82.777433 158.344833 392.105892 1636.494480 4.863574e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 45.909386 79.282285 154.120610 393.661593 1779.708906 9.617461e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 43.868764 76.593892 151.458784 400.049108 1979.986283 2.761792e+05 NaN
2025-06-01 42.021968 74.129888 148.984221 406.504874 2206.209522 1.613517e+06 NaN
2025-06-08 39.614201 70.238099 142.303805 394.679419 2247.768165 9.394797e+06 NaN
2025-06-15 38.849652 69.865737 144.799487 420.916876 2772.974078 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 36.551132 65.891898 137.100059 401.835500 2719.023695 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 35.207386 63.960253 134.756118 405.603317 2999.377464 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 33.782363 61.732868 131.318368 403.517353 3206.798207 NaN NaN